Implied Volatility (IV), IV Rank and IV Percentile: Defined and Practical Applications – April 5, 2021
When writing covered calls and selling cash-secured puts, the implied volatility of the underlying securities is directly related to the premiums we receive and also measures the risk we are taking with our option-selling trades. We protect ourselves from using IVs that are too high or too low by defining our initial time-value return goal range and then selecting options that meet these criteria. Recently, there has been interest in 2 IV metrics: IV Rank and IV Percentile. These give an historical perspective of the IV itself. This article will explain the terms and their applications, if any, as they relate to our low-risk option-selling strategies.
Definitions
Implied volatility: This is a forecast of the underlying stock’s volatility as implied by the option’s price in the marketplace. It is generally based on a 1-year time-frame and 1 standard deviation (accurate 67% of the time).
IV Rank: Measures IV in relationship to its 1-year high and low. If the current IV is 20% and the 1-year range is 10% – 40%, the IV Rank is 33%. The formula is:
[100 x (current IV – 1-year low)/(1-year high – 1-year low)]. In this hypothetical:[100 x (20 -10) (40 – 10)] = 33%
IV Percentile: The percentage of days the IV is below current IV in the past 1-year. It does not factor in yearly high and low. If the current IV is 30% and 200 of the past 252 trading days the stock’s IV was below 30%, the IV Percentile is 79.4%. The formula is:
(# days IV is below current level/252). In this hypothetical:
(200/252) = 79.4%
IV Rank and Percentile Data can be found in most broker research platforms (Schwab here)
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General applications
Some option traders will use IV Rank and Percentile to determine which strategies to use. For example, if a stock has an especially high IV Rank or Percentile, a strategy may be selected to take advantage of the mean reversion concept that suggests a return to average. The same holds true for a low rank or percentile.
Applications for covered call writing and selling cash-secured puts
I put significant emphasis on implied volatility but little on IV Rank and Percentile. We are undertaking 1-week or 1-month obligations and re-evaluate our bullish assumptions on a frequent basis. We have our initial time-value return goal range in place as well as our buy-to-close limit orders. We have screened the heck out of our stocks from fundamental, technical and common-sense perspective. I submit that adding historical perspective on our options may be a case of analysis/paralysis.
Author: Alan Ellman