Selling Cash-Secured Puts: 2 Favorable Outcomes, November 27, 2023
When we sell cash-secured puts (CSPs), we are getting paid to undertake the contractual obligation to buy the holders shares at a price that we (the sellers) determine, called the strike price, by a date that we determine, called the expiration date. In the BCI methodology, we favor out-of-the-money (OTM) CSP strikes, which are lower than current market value.
Since we are agreeing to buy the option buyers shares and understand that exercise can occur at any time during the contract (although early exercise is rare), it makes sense to favor securities that we would otherwise not mind owning in our portfolios. This is why we do such meticulous due diligence when screening our stocks & ETFs.
Given this type of CSP trade structuring, there are 2 major favorable outcomes, with the understanding that there is inherent risk in all trades that seek to generate more than risk-free returns.
What are the 2 favorable outcomes?
Let us set aside the critical skillset exit strategy intervention and focus on the 2 major potential outcomes.
Unexercised: If the price of the underlying security does not drop below the OTM put strike at expiration, the option will expire worthless, and we will have realized our initial time-value return. The cash previously utilized to secure that put is now freed up to secure another put in the next contract cycle.
Exercised: If share price declines below the (once) OTM put strike, the share will be “put” to us on the Saturday after expiration Friday at a cost basis of (put strike – put premium). This represents a discount from the original price of the underlying, given the strike was OTM plus the put premium credit. Since this is a security we wouldn’t mind owning, aside from the options aspect, this represents another potential favorable outcome.
Dividends: If there is an ex-dividend date during the contract cycle, we will add the dividend amount to the premium for final calculations
Real-life example with Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE: TOL)
- 7/3/2023: Buy 100 x TOL at $79.07
- STO 1 x 8/4/2023 $77.00 OTM put at $1.40
- 7/6/2023: Capture $0.21 dividend (ex-dividend date)
- Option premium + dividend = $1.61
- Calculate unexercised & exercised results
Option-chain for TOL on 7/3/2023
TOL calculations without dividend: 2 favorable outcomes
- Initial time-value 33-day return is 1.85%, 20.48% annualized (brown cells)
- Purchase discount price, if exercised is 4.39% (purple cell)
- Calculations accomplished using the BCI Trade Management Calculator
TOL calculations with dividend: 2 favorable outcomes
- Initial time-value 33-day return is 2.14%, 23.82% annualized after adding the $0.21 dividend to the option premium (brown cells)
- Purchased discount price, if exercised is 4.65% (purple cell)
- Calculations accomplished using the BCI Trade Management Calculator
Discussion
When selling out-of-the-money cash-secured puts on securities we would otherwise want to own, there are 2 favorable outcomes. Either we purchase the shares at a discounted price (from the time of trade entry) or we get paid not to buy the shares. It is important to recognize the fact that the risk in the trade is the price of the underlying dropping below the breakeven price points (yellow cells) when we can start losing money. This is where our exit strategy arsenal must be activated.
Author: Alan Ellman